One of the important issues when it comes to betting systems is after how many bets we can say that a betting system is secured enough to be played with big money. The problem is that if we try a betting system and it appears to be winning at first glance, we can start betting larger sums assured that the method of playing is profitable. It is quite possible to be unpleasantly surprised afterwards and see that we had just luck in the beginning. This unpleasant situation can lead to large losses of money and because of that we need a validation rule that will give us the needed security before we start to bet more money.
If you look at various betting forums you will see different views of what should be the number of bets to ensure our security. If you want you can even go further by exploring issues from a sociological perspective. There is a special formula that determines the number of events before they are identified as statistically significant.
However, if you do not want to go so deep into the science you can take a simple rule. The higher the odds you play with, the greater the number of controlling bets must be. The opposite is also true. If you bet on a system that gives 65% success rate on small odds then 100 trial bets could be enough.
However, it seems the best solution in this case is the following. Start betting on trial and if after the first 100 bets you are on profit deposit the minimum possible amount of money you can afford. Then, allow the system to evolve itself as the only thing to do is to increase the bank depending on your winnings. For example, every time you reach 20% profit, start again and put the 20% profit in your total bank. So, you will play only with the minimum amount you invested at the beginning. If your system is profitable it will raise the amount of money by itself. The time needed to reach your desired level of money for a single bet will be your trial period.
Some last words. This video below is a present for every punter who loves betting on football Enjoy!
No doubt all we who love betting strive for one single thing – to increase our success rate and by doing it to increase our profits or at least to reduce the losses. How can we achieve this? Well, if someone knew this and decided to share it with everyone, then very quickly there will be nowhere to bet. However, there is a very useful way by which we can make a small step forward. This way is to understand why we choose a prediction where to place our bets.
How to choose on which match to bet? Broadly speaking, we rely on the experience. We look at signs for which we know from the past that tell something to us about an advantage of one team and when we find such an advantage we make a bet. Of course, many times we don’t use just one for our prediction, but the principle is the same.
The way we can improve our betting success rate is to keep track of the signs used by us for our predictions and to check whether they are really in our favour or not. How can we do this? It is very simple. The only thing we need is an excel file to record all information about our bets. We will collect there the date of the bet, the match and the prediction we are going to make. Also, we can put there the odds and the final result. From there we can trace success rate and what is the situation with our bank.
The most important part is on the last column. There, we should fully detail and quite honestly describe what has led us to make this prediction. In a few words and in a very free style we can describe the signs which remind us about some past matches and make us make one or another prediction.
So once we bet on a particular number of matches we can look back and do a complete analysis of where we succeeded and where we fail in our predictions. We can group the signs and see which ones are correct and which are not. By doing this we will be able to improve our betting game.
If you are not familiar with excel take a look on the video below. It will show you the main functions.
Fate sometimes plays jokes with everyone and today this is certainly felt by the new manager of WBA Steve Clarke. The former coach of Liverpool will play against his old club in his first match as manager in the Premier League. Is there a better start than a win against them?
Are the power and qualities of WBA’s players enough for such a victory against Liverpool? Surely WBA has a serious advantage and it is that Clarke knows the individual qualities of each of the opponent players, he knows how they will be positioned on the pitch and he will surely be better prepared. Of course he will be highly motivated to begin with a good result against Liverpool.
On the other hand we also have a debut on the managerial position. The new boss at Liverpool is Brendan Rodgers, who after a very successful period as manager of Swansea climbs one level higher in the managerial career. He already showed that he is not afraid to impose his style in such big club like Liverpool and completely changed the game of his players. From now on, Liverpool will seek to retain the ball as long as possible, often without putting lots of efforts in the attack, but in this way he will try to ensure the team’s security. This is a new game system for Liverpool, which, however, was not greeted very well by the fans. They are worried that Liverpool will be too protective and not very attractive, which is important for them.
Anyway, both teams open the season with a fresh start. The advantage is slightly on the side of WBA, as they have a manager who knows the opponent and changes of playing style for them are not as large as for their opponents. According to the bookies the favourites for this match will be the guests, which allows me to bet on the so loved Asian Handicap. Advantage of 0.5 goals for WBA will bring me a coefficient of 1.925, which is good enough. This will be my prediction for this match.